There are so many reports, think pieces, and social media postings after the report of a phone call between US PEOTUS and Taiwan President 蔡英文 Tsai In-Wen. It’s difficult to process everything.
What we know is that there was a phone call that was not within normal protocol. Unfortunately the protocol is the basis of peace on both sides of the Taiwan Strait. The threat of China is always there, and now it is expanding to other areas in the South China Sea.
Historically, the US Republican Party in has always been supportive of stronger ties to Taiwan. Earlier this year, the RNC adopted a Resolution Affirming Strong Support for the Republic of China (Taiwan) [pdf]. The cornerstone of this is Regan’s Six Assurances from 1982. The parts to Taiwan’s benefit are the sale of arms for defense, and the support for participation in international organizations. So it is not outside the possibility that there are pro-Taiwan opinions in the PEOTUS administration.
But no matter what the US supports, Taiwan will always be hindered by China in international organizations. Especially now that China is not happy with the Taiwanese government. Ever since 蔡英文 has taken office, Taiwan has been given a hard time. Taiwan was not allowed to be a observing member in UN committees where it was trying to gain observer status. Other countries have been sending criminals with Taiwanese nationality to China because China tells those countries to do so.
For Taiwan, a change to the status quo would be welcomed. Taiwan in 1982 is not the Taiwan of now. The people of Taiwan identify as Taiwanese, want their say in the world, and be recognized. If the incoming US PEOTUS administration has plans to change the status quo, I am sure the Taiwanese government would be willing to listen. It would need to make sure that the Chinese government is willing to listen as well.
Day to day life will go on for the citizens of Taiwan, but who knows what is around the corner? The concern is beyond one phone call, or the reaction to one phone call. The concern is protecting a democratic island nation and its people.